Innovative Energy Consultancy Ltd
Innovative Energy Consultancy Ltd

January Markets Update

Gas

Gas prices dropped in December as a result of record levels of LNG cargoes and high levels of storage carried over from the previous month. Day-ahead closed before Christmas at 31.0p/th while month-ahead decreased by 8.2% to settle at 35.0p/th. At the start of January, gas prices rose, closing at 33.50p/th at the end of the first week.

 

 

 

Power

Wholesale power prices dropped in December. Day-ahead dropped by 2.6% and closed before Christmas at £39.2/MWh while month-ahead fell by 4.1% to settle at £44.50/MWh. As the New Year began, UK power contracts started to rise with month-ahead contracts increasing by 1.8% to close in the first week of January at £42/MWh.

 

 

 

Oil

Oil prices dropped below $64/bbl in mid-December though prices have since recovered as a result of progress made on the US-China trade deal.

Carbon EU ETS

“The EU ETS is not fit to achieve a real green deal – phasing out free allowances is key.” That’s according to a report by Carbon Market Watch. The organisation says the Green Deal envisages a revision of “all relevant legislation”, including the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) by June 2021 – bringing it forward from the original timetable which was 2023.

The EU ETS reform will have to include increasing the pace at which pollution is reduced annually (the Linear Reduction Factor), mandating auctioning revenues to be used towards climate action and phasing out free pollution subsidies.

The Government’s latest Energy Trends and Prices statistical release (December 2019) shows:

  • Primary energy consumption in the UK on a fuel input basis fell by 1.2%, on a temperature adjusted basis consumption fell by 1.0%.
  • Indigenous energy production rose by 0.2%, with rises in gas, bioenergy, wind, solar and hydro output but falls in output from coal, oil and nuclear.
  • Electricity generation by Major Power Producers down 2.1%, with coal down 64% and gas down 1.6%. Renewables up 10%, boosted by strong growth from wind and hydro.#
  • Gas provided 41.0% of electricity generation by Major Power Producers, with renewables at a record high of 34.7%, nuclear at 22.1% and coal at 1.5%.
  • Low carbon share of electricity generation by Major Power Producers up 2.3 percentage points to a record high of 56.8%, whilst fossil fuel share of electricity generation stood at a record low of 42.8%.